为推动我国校园足球的发展，丰富校园足球发展理论，对我国小学一年级至大学四年级全日制在校师生，及与之对应的学生家长和所在地区的教育主管部门等进行了调查研究，借助于系统动力学理论，构建校园足球发展系统动力学模型，并利用实际调查数据对模型进行了仿真。结果表明：我国校园足球总体发展动力不强：就系统内环境而言，学生的足球运动需要、可支配运动时间、场地器材及师资力量等系统要素发展不协调，阻碍了校园足球发展；就系统外环境而言，足球的教育价值宣传力度较小、特长生升学通道不畅、足球专项资金监管力度较低等因素，影响校园足球内环境要素的发展，进而影响校园足球的发展。为促进校园足球发展，国家需要大力宣传足球运动的教育价值，完善足球特长生升学通道，加强场地器材建设和师资培训，强化校园足球专项资金的监管力度。

In order to promote the development of campus football in China and enrich the development theory of campus football， this paper investigated the full-time students and staff from grade one in primary schools to the seniors in universities，conducting the survey on the corresponding parents of students and the local education authorities. With system dynamics theory，a system dynamics model of campus football development was constructed，and the model was simulated using actual survey data. The results show that the overall development momentum of campus football in China is still poor. From the perspective of the internal environment of the system，the uncoordinated development of system elements such as students’demand for football，disposable sports time，venue equipment and the capacity of teachers hinder the rapid development of the campus football. From the perspective of the external environment of the system，factors such as less propaganda of the educational value of football，poor access to education for special students，and the poor supervision of special football funds affect the development of environmental elements within campus football，which in turn affects the development of campus football. In order to promote the development of campus football，the country needs to vigorously promote the educational value of football，improve the pathways to colleges for football special students，strengthen the construction of venue equipment and teacher training，and strengthen the supervision of special funds for campus football.

G80-5

安徽省教育厅人文社科项目：安徽省城乡群众体育均衡化发展路径研究（SK2017A0081）。